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Not Another Politics Podcast

Not Another Politics Podcast

With all the noise created by a 24/7 news cycle, it can be hard to really grasp what's going on in politics today. We provide a fresh perspective on the biggest political stories not through opinion and anecdotes, but rigorous scholarship, massive data sets and a deep knowledge of theory. Understand the political science beyond the headlines with Harris School of Public Policy Professors William Howell, Anthony Fowler and Wioletta Dziuda. Our show is part of the University of Chicago Podcast Network.

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Should Judges Be Elected or Appointed?

There is a long running debate in political science: do we get better judges by letting the public vote in elections or by giving our leaders the power to appoint them? One side says that judges should be insulated from the influence of politics involved in elections, focusing entirely on the rule of law. The other side says that our judges should be accountable to the public for the decisions they make in office. Who is right?

In this episode, we?re doing things a bit different. The Center for Effective Government at the University of Chicago, headed by our very own William Howell, has developed a series of primers that each focus on the available scholarship about the pros and cons of a particular governmental reform. Each primer is written by a scholar  who has also done research in that area. On this episode, we speak with Sanford Gordon from the Politics Department at NYU who wrote a primer on this question: is it better to elect or appoint judges?

2024-03-20
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Why Women Are Underrepresented in U.S. Politics

Despite making up roughly half of the U.S. population, women only make up about one-quarter of representatives and senators. And this trend is not just national?it holds true globally as well. What explains why women are underrepresented in politics? If women are just as likely to win elections as men do, then why are they less likely to run for office?

In a recent paper, "Modeling Theories of Women's Underrepresentation in Elections," University of Chicago Professors Scott Ashworth, Christopher Berry and Ethan Bueno de Mesquita explore the facts and theories around why women are elected less than men in U.S. politics. In this episode, we speak with Ashworth, a Professor in the Harris School of Public Policy.

2024-03-06
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What Makes A Legislator Effective?

When it comes to passing actual legislation, putting it forward and getting it all the way through the process, it can be difficult to measure exactly which legislators are effective. Not to mention which types of legislators tend to be more effective, moderates or extremists? And does majority-party membership increase effectives?

In an innovative new paper, ?Effective Lawmaking Across Congressional Eras?, University of Pittsburgh professor of political science Max Goplerud proposes a new measure of legislative effectiveness that may help us to answer some of these complex questions.

2024-02-21
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Do Conservatives Sabotage The Administrative State?

When we talk about the interpretation and ultimately implementation of policy we?re not talking about Congress so much as the Administrative State. But what happens when those who work in those agencies decide through their positions to not only sabotage a policy they?re meant to carry out, but perhaps the whole agency?

In a recent paper titled ?Administrative Sabotage? Rutgers law professor, David Noll, looks at the history of how agencies sabotage themselves and discuses what this means for a democracy and for the power of the Presidency.  

2024-02-07
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Who Gets Heard On Redistribution, The Rich Or Poor?

When we talk about policy choices around redistribution there is an assumption so obvious that most people never question it. That politicians are more responsive to the desires of the rich, and that policy preferences of the poor don?t hold as much sway. But what if that assumption was wrong?

In a recent paper by Boston University Economist Raymond Fisman titled ?Whose Preference Matter For Redistribution: Cross-Country Evidence? uses cross-sectional data from 93 countries to see how much a government redistributes lines up with how much redistribution citizens of different socioeconomic statuses actually want. The findings are surprising.

2024-01-24
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Can We Believe Political Surveys?

Hello listeners! Our team took some end of the year time off, but we know your holiday travel wouldn?t be complete without some in-depth political science research. So, we?re release some episodes we think are going to be very relevant as we move into an election year. 

And thanks to everyone who listened to our podcast this year. We don?t make money off this show, it?s a labor of love to make important scientific research interesting and accessible?but your support is crucial to helping us to continue that mission. The data shows that the number one way podcasts grow is through word of mouth. If you could please just tell a friend, a family member, co-worker to listen to our show it would help us immensely. Thanks again and please enjoy the holidays.

2024-01-10
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Should It Be Illegal Not To Vote?

Hello listeners! Our team took some end of the year time off, but we know your holiday travel wouldn?t be complete without some in-depth political science research. So, we?re release some episodes we think are going to be very relevant as we move into an election year. 

And thanks to everyone who listened to our podcast this year. We don?t make money off this show, it?s a labor of love to make important scientific research interesting and accessible?but your support is crucial to helping us to continue that mission. The data shows that the number one way podcasts grow is through word of mouth. If you could please just tell a friend, a family member, co-worker to listen to our show it would help us immensely. Thanks again and please enjoy the holidays.

2023-12-27
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Is There A "Spiral of Silence" On Campus And In Our Politics?

The recent crisis in the Israel and Palestine conflict has added fuel to the already heated debate over free speech in our politics and on college campuses. Does the scientific literature having anything to tell us about the health of public discourse in these domains?

A recent paper by Harvard Ph.D. candidate Yihong Huang titled ?Breaking the Spiral of Silence? holds some answers. It looks at how the attention we pay, or don?t pay, to who stays silent in a debate can exacerbate self-censorship.

2023-12-13
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The Bargaining Strategies of Extremists

There is a political puzzle that has become prominent in the last few decades, especially with the recent turmoil over the Republican led Speaker of the House: how do a small group of extremists manage to get their way despite being a minority of members?

In a recent paper, ?Organizing at the Extreme: Hardline Strategy and Institutional Design? University of Chicago Political Scientist Ruth Bloch Rubin takes that question head on. Her conclusions could tell us a lot about the bargaining strategies of extremists, when and why they work, and how those strategies may create sticky organization practices and structures.

2023-11-29
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Is Gridlock Causing Polarization?

We often say on this podcast that the American electorate is not polarized but the elites are, and that this polarization causes policy gridlock. But what if it?s the other way around? Is it possible that gridlock in government is actually causing polarization and a turn toward extremist candidates?

That?s the assertion of a paper called ?From Gridlock to Polarization? by Barton Lee, the Chair of Political Economy and eDemocracy at ETH Zurich. Lee uses a large-scale online experiment to show how voters become more willing to vote for extremist candidates. It leads to some fascinating implications for how we should think about the consequences of ineffective government.

Paper link:https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4521276

2023-11-15
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Partisan Identities vs Anti-Establishment Orientations

When political commentators talk about polarization, they often mean a partisan ideological divide: the left vs the right, republicans vs democrats, progressives vs conservatives. But what if there is a different dichotomy driving our political disagreements that is orthogonal to ideological differences?

 

That?s what University of Miami political scientist Joseph Uscinski argues in a recent paper, ?American Politics in Two Dimensions: Partisan and Ideological Identities versus Anti-Establishment Orientations. Using two national surveys from 2019 and 2020, he shows that anti-establishment and anti-elite sentiments may be more of a driving force in our politics than partisan ideology.

 

Paper link: https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/ajps.12616

2023-11-01
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LIVE: Does Money Distort Our Politics?

If there is one thing the right and left seem to agree on it?s that money distorts our politics. It allows the rich to shape policy, choose who gets elected, and escape consequences. But what if this common belief isn?t as true as you think?

On our second live episode, we look back to famous paper in the political science literature, ?Why Is There so Little Money in U.S. Politics?? by Stephen Ansolabehere, John Figueiredo and James Snyder. Their provocative paper asks an often-overlooked question: if political money is so effective, why isn?t there more of it?

This episode was recorded live at the University of Chicago Podcast Network Festival.

2023-10-18
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Presidential Power, Parties, And The Rise Of The Administrative State

One of Donald Trump?s 2024 campaign promises is to upend the modern civil service through an executive order called ?Schedule F?. Democrats and Republicans have been fighting over this administrative state since its conception, but why is this area of government so divisive and what power does it really hold?

The history of the civil services? origins is one that holds many lessons about the rise of presidential power, the fall of the party system, and the polarization of politics. And there is no better expert on these topics than University of Virginia political scientist, Sidney Milkis. His 1993 book ?The President and the Parties? is one of those books that seems to always be relevant but, with increased conservative focus on the administrative state, it is especially worth revisiting today.

2023-10-04
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Does Social Media Polarize Our Politics?

It?s one of the most common refrains in political discourse today: social media is the source of polarization. It?s a difficult proposition to empirically study because companies like Meta and X don?t share their data publicly. Until now.

In a landmark series of papers, three in Science and one in Nature, Princeton political scientists Andy Guess and a massive team of researchers were given unique access by Meta to study how the platform and algorithms affected users? attitudes and behaviors during the 2020 election. The findings are surprising and fascinating, even as the project itself raises intriguing questions about how to conduct research on a company in partnership with that very same company.

2023-09-20
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Is Partisan Gerrymandering As Bad As You Think?

There is no political topic that can get people?s blood boiling quite like partisan gerrymandering. Many even go so far as to call it an afront to our democracy. But what do we know about how effective it is and what the data shows about its outcomes?

In a new paper, ?Widespread Partisan Gerrymandering Mostly Cancels Nationally, But Reduces Electoral Competition? Princeton political scientist, Kosuke Imai, uses a novel methodological approach to try and document the effect of partisan gerrymandering. What he finds is surprising and may lead people who participate in it to re-think whether it?s worth the effort.

Link to paper: https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.2217322120

2023-09-06
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Does Ousting Incumbents Improve The Economy?

The assumption in political science has always been that electing challengers can lead to a downturn in performance. It takes time to do all the hiring involved in establishing a new government, and there is always a learning curve about processes and procedures. But a surprising new paper shows the opposite might be true.

In ?Electoral Turnovers?, Boston University economist Benjamin Marx uses a vast new data set to show that ousting the incumbent always seems to lead to improved performance, especially economic performance.

Paper: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4039485

2023-08-23
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Do Partisans Really Believe Different Facts?

The common refrain in political coverage today says that each side of the aisle is living in an information bubble. There is a partisan knowledge gap between the facts Democrats know and the facts Republicans know. May believe this gap could be the downfall of our democracy. But what if that gap isn?t as large as we think?

In a new paper by independent researcher, Gaurav Sood, titled ?A Gap In Our Understanding? Reconsidering the Evidence for Partisan Knowledge Gaps? he finds that the way we study knowledge gaps is flawed, and that differences in factual knowledge may not be as high as supposed.

Paper Link: https://www.gsood.com/research/papers/partisan_gap.pdf

2023-08-09
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Is Voter Rationality A Test Of A Health Democracy?

There?s a long tradition in political science of using voter rationality to test the health of our democracy. But could this myopia be misguided? Are there any situations where irrational and uninformed voters could actually generate a healthier democracy?

We?re taking a short summer break to catch up on some incredible episodes we have in the works. But in the meantime, we?re going to re-share some of our prior conversations that we think are the most vital and fascinating. Thanks for listening and we?ll see you soon with new episodes of Not Another Politics Podcast.

2023-07-26
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When Fox Viewers Watch CNN Instead

Partisan misinformation. Many people think it comes from the news people watch. When it comes to cable news, Fox and CNN have pretty partisan viewers. So, what would happen if Fox viewers tuned into CNN for a month? Would they suddenly adopt different views more aligned with CNN?

We?re taking a short summer break to catch up on some incredible episodes we have in the works. But in the meantime, we?re going to re-share some of our prior conversations that we think are the most vital and fascinating. Thanks for listening and we?ll see you soon with new episodes of Not Another Politics Podcast.

2023-07-12
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Do White Americans Favor White Politicians?

As the Supreme Court debates whether to end affirmative action, concerns about the power of implicit racial bias to shape who gets ahead in America are as salient as ever. But what do we know about the extent and power of this racism to drive voting decisions? Is there a scientific way to measure it?

In a new paper ?Disfavor or Favor? Assessing the Valence of White Americans? Racial Attitudes? political scientist Tim Ryan provides a new framework for how perceived racial attitudes line up with voting. It takes on the faults of our existing racial bias literature and provides striking evidence about how to characterize white American?s racial attitudes. 

Ryan is a professor at The University of North Caroline at Chapel Hill. You can find the paper at this link: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3701331 

2023-06-21
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Do Stimulus Checks Buy Votes?

We?ve become deeply familiar with stimulus checks in the last few years, but what isn?t clear is what affect these transfers may have on elections. Could stimulus checks be enough for citizens to change their votes to the party handing out the money and if so, is this a way for politicians to buy votes?

Northwestern Professor of economics Silvia Vannutelli explores these questions in a paper titled ?The Political Economy of Stimulus Transfers?. She looks at stimulus payments in Italy in 2014 and uncovers some surprising findings. Not only did these transfers appear to ?purchase? some votes, but the effect seem to persist into the future.

2023-06-07
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Can You Judge A Politician By Their Looks?

We all know you?re not supposed to judge a book by its cover, but if we?re being honest we all do it on occasion anyway. Could it be that we also elect our politicians just based on how they look? Of course, there?s the old idea of looking ?presidential?, but how much power does that really have to sway an election?

A famous paper by University of Chicago behavioral scientist Alexander Todorov provides us with some surprising insights. Just by flashing two faces of competing politicians for mere seconds, participants were able to accurately judge the outcomes of elections based on how competent they thought the politicians looked. It?s a curious finding that raises more questions than it answers, and we dig into both on this episode.  

2023-05-24
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Can Citizen Appeals Change Government Action?

When citizens directly appeal to their government, are their concerns ignored or taken seriously? It?s an important question for understanding norms around accountability, especially in authoritarian regimes. 

To find some answers, University of Chicago Professor of Public Policy Shaoda Wang helped develop a clever field experiment evaluating how Chinese regulators respond to citizen appeals about companies violating pollution standards. 

The experiment is fascinating on its own, but it also provides a wealth of data about the effectiveness of citizen appeals, how corporations respond when complaints are public or private, and even the incentives companies follow when it comes to adhering to pollution standards. 

2023-05-10
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Does Bad Government Breed Populism?

Why is populism on the rise across the globe? One story says this movement is driven by anti-elite and anti-establishment sentiment, that they just want to throw the bums out. Another says it?s driven by identity politics, an anti-immigrant pro-nativist ideology. Both stories don?t leave room for much hope. But what if there was another story that not only gives us some hope but supplies a clear solution.

A new paper by economist Giacomo Ponzetto from the Barcelona School of Economics provides us just that story. It?s called ?Do Incompetent Politicians Breed Populist Voters? Evidence from Italian Municipalities?, and it looks at home simply increasing the effectiveness of local government may decrease support for populist candidates.

Paper link: https://bse.eu/research/working-papers/do-incompetent-politicians-breed-populist-voters-evidence-italian

2023-04-26
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Do Political Endorsements Undermine Trust In Science?

In the runup to the 2020 election, the academic journal Nature made the unprecedented decision to endorse Joe Biden for President. During an era when trust in science has never seemed more crucial, this decision led many to wonder if explicitly political statements increase or decrease public trust in science.

Luckily, one PhD graduate from the Stanford School of Business designed a well-crafted experiment to find an answer. Using the Nature endorsement as a test case, Floyd Zhang wrote a paper that helps us explore the effects of public trust when scientific journals make endorsements.

2023-04-12
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Do Politicians Spend Money Differently Depending On Its Source?

How Does Representation Work?

The Polarization Of State Legislatures

Are We In A Period Of Global Democratic Decline?

The popular narrative these days is that democracies around the globe are backsliding. If we turn to countries like Hungary, Poland, and Venezuela, this threat certainly is true ? authoritarian dictators have contributed to democratic decline. But what does the global picture reveal? Does the claim hold true? A new paper by Anne Meng and Andrew Little investigates this question, by analyzing more objective indicators such as incumbent performance in elections.

Anne Meng is an associate professor in the Department of Politics at the University of Virginia. Link to paper: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4327307 

2023-02-15
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Political Brokers In India?s Most Marginalized Communities

On this show, we focus a lot on ideological polarization but it?s important to remember that politics is about more than ideology or even policy victories. It?s about distribution and redistribution of goods and services in return for party support, votes. This view of politics is called clientelism, and it often goes overlooked.

One of the landmark papers on clientelism is from Tariq Thatchil, a political scientist at The University of Pennsylvania. It won the award for best paper in the APSR in 2018, and it?s called ?How Clients Select Brokers, Competition and Choice in India?s Slums?. Their investigation prompts a re-thinking of the dynamics of clientelism and perhaps even holds some lessons for how to re-think the ideological view of politics as well.

https://static1.squarespace.com/static/5310a4d8e4b05a56d51f81c8/t/5b4cbc711ae6cf1a9051724e/1531755638231/Auerbach_Thachil_APSR.pdf

2023-02-02
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An Algorithm for Detecting Election Fraud

For better or worse, one of the biggest stories in US politics today is the detection of election fraud, or in many cases the lack of election fraud. But determining whether fraud happened in an election can be difficult, even while proving the validity of elections for some has become increasingly important. Wouldn?t it be incredible if we could just plug a set of data from an election into a toolkit that could give us an answer if fraud occurred? Well, one political scientist from the University of Michigan, Walter Mebane believes he may have developed just such a toolkit. It?s called ?election forensics?. Much like machine learning algorithms, when tested in the field it does seem to perform fantastically well, but figuring out exactly how it works can be a complicated web to untangle. We give it a shot on this episode.
2023-01-18
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Why The U.S. Isn?t As Polarized As It Seems

As we approach the anniversary of the January 6th attack on the US Capitol, we wanted to reflect on where we are as a country and whether politics are really as polarized as they seem. Our co-host Will Howell recently joined another University of Chicago podcast called Big Brains to discuss these very questions. We're going to share that episode with you this week, we hope you enjoy it, and look forward to being back with a new episode in a few weeks.
2023-01-05
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Why Aren't the Majority Of Voters Getting What They Want?

Lately it feels like politicians are favoring smaller groups of their constituents over the majority of them. If you've been skeptical about whether this favoritism exists, there's a new theory that supports it. Some voters who are more vocal or intense about political issues are more likely to get their local politician's attention, and these smaller groups of constituents are more likely to get what they want.

In his new book, Frustrated Majorities: How Issue Intensity Enables Smaller Groups of Voters to Get What They Want, University of San Diego political scientist Seth J. Hill uses new empirical evidence to tackle a question that has been floating on the radar: Is democracy broken or are politicians becoming more undemocratic with their approach to win votes?

2022-12-21
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Why Aren't There More Moderate Politicians?

We took some time off to enjoy the holiday with our families, but in the wake of the 2024 mid-terms, we?re going to re-share this crucial episode and relevant episode. When it comes to polarization, most people in American politics blame the voters. But much of the political science data suggests most voters are actually moderates. So, where are all the moderate politicians? In a new book, ?Who Wants To Run?: How The Devaluing of Political Office Drives Polarization?, Stanford political scientist Andrew Hall argues that the reason we don?t have more moderate politicians is actually quite simple?there just aren?t any incentives for them to run.
2022-11-23
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LIVE: How Members Of Congress Forge Relationships With Their Voters

This episode was recorded live at the NASPAA conference in Chicago. With the midterms upon us, we decided to look back at a piece of landmark scholarship that may be able to tell us something about the dynamics of personal interactions between representatives and their constituencies. It?s by political scientist Richard Fenno called ?U.S. House Members in Their Constituencies: An Exploration?. We often assume that voters cast their ballots based on ideology and policy, but it could it be more personal than that? Fennon took a novel approach to answering that question that he calls ?soaking and poking?. We explore what his discoveries can tell us about our current elections and how representatives think about their interactions with their constituents. Paper: https://www.jstor.org/stable/1960097#metadata_info_tab_contents
2022-11-09
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What Can We Learn About Polarization From The UK?

One theme on our show is trying to make sense of why elites appear to be so polarized when the larger public is more moderate. We almost always study these trends in the U.S. but could we look to another country for insight? A country like the UK perhaps? In her paper ?Has The British Public Depolarized Along with Political Elites?? University of Oxford political scientist Jane Green measures the differences between elite and public polarization during the eighties and nineties when the parties actually depolarized. Did elite depolarization lead to public depolarization, and what lessons do this data hold for the US?
2022-10-26
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Are Legislators Beating The Market With Insider Information?

There might not be a more controversial political hack than members of Congress being legally allowed to trade stocks. Infamously, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, one of the wealthiest members of Congress, has been regularly accused of insider trading. Recently the House of Representatives has introduced a bill that would prohibit members of Congress, their spouses, and children, from trading stocks. Although the bill has stalled, it's renewed a really important lingering question: are members of Congress actually advanced investors, and how much are they benefiting from inside information? In a 2014 paper by University of Chicago's Andy Eggers and Stanford University's Jens Hainmueller titled, Political Capital: Corporate Connections and Stock Investments in the U.S. Congress, they look at a wide data set of investments made by hundreds of members of Congress between 2004 and 2008, to see whether or not they're getting an unfair advantage. The results may surprise you.
2022-10-12
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Do Primaries Cause Polarization?

For years, political scholars and pundits have claimed that primary elections are exacerbating polarization and with the 2022 midterm elections approaching this year has been no different. With many extremist candidates on both sides of the aisle, it certainly feels like this claim should be true, but does the political science back that up? To find an answer we turn to Harvard political scientist James Snyder and his 2010 paper ?Primary Elections and Partisan Polarization in the U.S. Congress?. The findings are surprising and may have some key insights for how we should think about primary elections in the U.S.
2022-09-28
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Can Fact-Checking Counter Misinformation?

The COVID-19 pandemic has been an era of misinformation. From social media to cable news, the spread of false or misleading information about COVID vaccines has been rampant. Some social media platforms have moved more aggressively by trying to flag misleading posts with disclaimers. Can fact-checking reduce the spread of misinformation? And perhaps more importantly, can fact-checks change people's minds about getting vaccinated? In a new study, George Washington University political scientist Ethan Porter decided to look at COVID-19 misinformation spanning across ten countries, from Brazil to Nigeria, to the United States. He and his co-authors evaluated factual corrections in these ten countries to see whether or not they changed people's beliefs and whether they got vaccinated.
2022-09-14
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Do People Automatically Reject Policies Of The Opposite Party?

In our hyper-polarized climate, it is often said that partisans determine their policy positions not based on thought and reason but on opposition to the other party. If I?m a Republican and I hear that Nancy Pelosi supports a particular policy, I?ll reflexively take the opposite stance. There is a literature in political science that suggests this is the case, but could it be wrong? In a new paper, ?Updating amidst Disagreement: New Experimental Evidence on Partisan Cues?, our very own Will Howell and Anthony Fowler demonstrate that more robust research designs leads to a completely different conclusion. The American public may be more open to deliberative policy positions than we think; they just need to be given the option.
2022-08-31
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Does The Economy Affect Elections?

The midterm elections are fast approaching, and with rampant inflation one of the main concerns for Democrats is the state of the economy. It?s commonly accepted that some voters cast their ballots solely on the price of gas and bread, but does the science back that up? There is a classic paper by political scientist Gerald Kramer from 1971 that can help us answer that question. It systematically evaluates the relationship between changes in the various dimensions of the economy and two party vote share over the better part of a century. On this episode, we discuss that paper, what it can tell us about the Democrat?s chances in the 2022 midterms, and if the possible effects of the Inflation Reduction Act.
2022-08-17
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Best Of: Does Ranked Choice Reduce Strategic Voting?

Something curious has happened in American politics. Andrew Yang of 2016 presidential election fame has launched a third party, The Forward Party, and he's attracting some attention. A key feature of this party is a belief in ranked choice voting and raising up the possibility that through ranked choice voting, we might recover our our democracy. We're taking a week off to spend time with family, but we wanted to resurrect our discussion with our colleague Andy Eggers, who has written at length on ranked choice voting and the relationship between ranked choice voting and strategic voting. We hope you enjoy it. And we'll be back in two weeks with a brand new episode of Not Another Politics Podcast.
2022-08-03
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Did Voter Turnout Drop in Communities of Color After Shelby?

Nearly a decade ago, the Supreme Court effectively removed the "preclearance" process in its Shelby County v. Holder decision. That process had been implemented for decades as part of the Voting Rights Act and required places with a history of racial discrimination to get approval from the Justice Department before changing their voting procedures. When the Shelby decision came down, voting rights advocates and mobilization groups panicked. There were widespread fears that this decision would dramatically reduce voter participation in communities of color. Did they? The University of Rochester's Mayya Komisarchik and Massachusetts Institute of Technology's Ariel White sought to answer that question in their recent paper, "Throwing Away the Umbrella: Minority Voting after the Supreme Court?s Shelby Decision." In this episode, we speak to Komisarchik about the impacts of the Shelby decision and whether our fears about countermobilization and voter suppression tactics have held true.
2022-07-20
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Do Local Minimum Wages Represent Local Preferences?

Advocates for the striking down of Roe by the Supreme Court say this will improve our politics by allowing people?s preferences to be better represented at the State level. But do State and local governments accurately match the preferences of their citizens when responding to their demands? It?s a difficult question to answer, but one paper by NYU political scientist Julia Payson and co-author Gabor Simonovits at Central European University, ?Locally controlled minimum wages are no closer to public preferences? provides a possible answer by way of locally set minimum wages. When local governments increase their minimum wages, do they accurately match local preferences? The answer is surprising, and has implications for policies beyond just minimum wage.
2022-07-06
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Roe & Departure From Precedent In The Supreme Court

There?s long been a belief that the Supreme Court rarely departs from precedent. But as the court appears to intend to strike down Roe, we?re wondering what the data tell us about how consistent the Supreme Court has been at honoring precedent. And, is the Supreme Court more likely to depart from precedent in constitutional cases than other types? To break it all down, we spoke to Washington University law professor Lee Epstein, about her 2015 paper, "The Decision To Depart (or Not) From Constitutional Precedent: An Empirical Study of the Roberts Court", co-authored by William M. Landes and Adam Liptak.
2022-06-22
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Revealing New Data On Who Donates To Campaigns

There are many questions surrounding the nature of money in politics, but one of the first order questions we should be asking is who exactly is donating that money? We now have access to more data than ever due to a dramatic increase in small donations through online fundraising platforms. Georgetown University Economist Laurent Bouton digs through this new data set in a recent paper ?Small Campaign Donors? to answer all sorts of questions like: do big or small donors give more strategically, has there been an increase in donations to extremist candidates, and are the coasts influencing elections more than the rest of the country by donating more money?
2022-06-08
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Best Of: Fixing the Filibuster

As the academic year draws to a close at The University of Chicago, our hosts are busy attending to the last minute activities of a professor. So, this week we wanted to re-share one of our favorite episodes interrogating a radically different proposal to fix the filibuster rather than abolishing it altogether. The filibuster is still one of the most contentious aspects of our politics today, and how it changes or doesn't change has a powerful impact on the most pressing political issues of the moment.
2022-05-25
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Nuclear Brinkmanship In Ukraine

One of the biggest questions surrounding the conflict in Ukraine is to what extent the shadow of nuclear war affects the degree of involvement by Western countries. Much of the literature in nuclear deterrence theory assumes the incentives of mutually assured destruction are strong enough to avoid a nuclear war, and hence the existence of nuclear capabilities in Russia and the West should not play much of a role in how the conflict progresses. But one paper by a late University of California Berkeley political scientist calls this theory into question. On this episode, we discuss Robert Powell?s ?Nuclear Brinkmanship, Limited War, and Military Power?. In it, Powell builds a model that explains how conflicts can lead to nuclear war even under mutually assured destruction, but also how threat of that war changes the dynamics of any conflict from the beginning. Both findings give us a number of insights into the current situation in Ukraine.
2022-05-11
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What Happens When Fox News Viewers Watch CNN Instead?

When it comes to cable news, Fox and CNN have pretty partisan viewers. So, what would happen if Fox viewers tuned into CNN for a month? Would they suddenly adopt different views more aligned with CNN? UC Berkeley political scientist David Broockman and his colleagues wanted to find out. When they paid Fox News viewers to watch CNN, they found that Fox News viewers became more supportive of vote-by-mail, and less likely to believe that then-Democratic candidate Joe Biden wanted to eliminate all police funding. The findings have made huge waves in the media, so we decided to take our unique microscope to the paper to see if we can get a fuller picture of what these findings tell us.
2022-04-27
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